Thunder	Spurs
Gilgeous Alexander u7.5 assists +102	Harper o11.5 points -109
Holmgren o13.5 points -112	Champagnie u2.5 threes -105
Mitchell u14.5 points -115	Castle u7.5 assists +110

Thunder Game 3 computer picksShai Gilgeous Alexander Under 7.5 assists (+102)

Projection: 6.24 assists

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has failed to clear this line in seven of his last 10 games, and given the Oklahoma City Thunder's sixth-slowest pace, expect that to continue in Game 3.

OKC also ranks as the second-worst team in offensive rebounding on the road, so Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs should limit SGA's facilitating tonight.

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Chet Holmgren Over 13.5 points (-112)

Projection: 16.02 points

Chet Holmgren has cashed this prop in seven of his last 10, and our computer projects a 18.77% EV advantage ahead of tip-off.

The Thunder have averaged 119.6 points per game away from the Paycom Center this season, and Holmgren should continue to be one of the main beneficiaries tonight.

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Ajay Mitchell Under 14.5 points (-115)

Projection: 12.98 points

Ajay Mitchell has accumulated just 14 points through the first two games of this series, attempting only 13 shots in the process.

The OKC guard has finished below this number in six of his last 10 contests, and an elite San Antonio Spurs defense (third in defensive rating) is set to keep it that way.

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Spurs Game 3 computer picksDylan Harper Over 11.5 points (-109)

Projection: 12.57 points

Dylan Harper has really stepped it up in the postseason, averaging 16.4 ppg over his last five matches.

The rookie should continue to light it up against a Thunder defense that allows starting point guards to attempt the most threes per contest.

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Julian Champagnie Under 2.5 threes (-120)

Projection: 2.28 threes

Julian Champagnie has missed the cut on 2.5 threes in five of his last 10 games.

Shooting just 4-for-18 from 3-point range in the Western Conference Finals, look for the third-year Spur to take a backseat offensively tonight.

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Stephen Castle Under 7.5 assists (+110)

Projection: 6.84 assists

Stephen Castle’s assist totals have dipped from 7.4 per game in the regular season to 6.6 in the postseason.

At plus money, it’s worth a look for the Spurs guard, who has cleared this prop in just four of his last 10 contests.

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How to watch Thunder vs Spurs Game 3